Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.354074 0.460851 0.577117 0.711332 0.860387 1.019443 1.200670
2025-09-14 0.194682 0.330174 0.495567 0.703137 0.949175 1.225439 1.553635
2025-09-21 0.113069 0.250452 0.436308 0.684935 0.992999 1.350083 1.784763
2025-09-28 0.077904 0.220707 0.431028 0.725684 1.101726 1.546419 2.095782
2025-10-05 0.056575 0.203703 0.437218 0.776522 1.219160 1.750158 2.412911
2025-10-12 0.038489 0.184670 0.436068 0.814515 1.318316 1.930472 2.701417
2025-10-19 0.029241 0.179097 0.453047 0.875730 1.446076 2.144890 3.030055
2025-10-26 0.020000 0.168433 0.459702 0.921110 1.552461 2.332581 3.326439
2025-11-02 0.009668 0.145661 0.442707 0.930465 1.610149 2.459084 3.548474
2025-11-09 0.001029 0.105714 0.388071 0.879971 1.585043 2.480008 3.640739
2025-11-16 NaN 0.070585 0.332136 0.821294 1.544576 2.478450 3.703003
2025-11-23 NaN 0.051853 0.303539 0.801633 1.555163 2.539922 3.841057
2025-11-30 NaN 0.041194 0.291664 0.810263 1.608387 2.660670 4.058649
2025-12-07 NaN 0.029091 0.271069 0.802605 1.638076 2.751305 4.239841
2025-12-14 NaN 0.017836 0.245326 0.782783 1.648104 2.814664 4.385517
2025-12-21 NaN 0.016862 0.254965 0.826542 1.751409 3.001223 4.686575
2025-12-28 NaN 0.017304 0.270308 0.880903 1.870539 3.208927 5.014562
2026-01-04 NaN 0.016064 0.278247 0.921481 1.969271 3.389679 5.308670
2026-01-11 NaN 0.017808 0.299322 0.986732 2.104879 3.619640 5.665286
2026-01-18 NaN 0.017513 0.311317 1.035019 2.215314 3.816263 5.979898
2026-01-25 NaN 0.013157 0.303158 1.044964 2.268345 3.936399 6.197651
2026-02-01 NaN 0.004921 0.263283 0.991248 2.224072 3.925458 6.248190
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000540 0.221771 0.928712 2.163264 3.890183 6.266029